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Commentary

Real estate on path to transformation

nt
Last updated: January 4, 2025 1:02 am
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The Indian real estate market is on the cusp of remarkable growth in 2025, with both residential and commercial segments showing significant promise. This growth is being driven by a synergistic combination of technological advancements, innovative financing models, rising demand, and supportive government policies. As a cornerstone of India’s economic development, the real estate sector continues to offer extensive opportunities for investors, businesses, and homebuyers, positioning itself as a critical player in India’s aspiration for ‘Viksit Bharat’ by 2047.

The real estate sector in India has a history of overcoming disruptions and emerging stronger. Following the global subprime crisis, the sector initially faced scepticism from investors and businesses. However, over the past decade, it has successfully navigated a series of regulatory and policy challenges, including the implementation of the Real Estate (Regulation and Development) Act (RERA), the Goods and Services Tax (GST), demonetisation, and the global COVID-19 pandemic. While these challenges disrupted operations, they also helped establish a more structured and resilient industry.

Several factors have contributed to this resilience. A younger, working population with rising disposable incomes has driven demand, while the post-pandemic shift towards work-from-home has increased the need for flexible living spaces. Additionally, declining benchmark interest rates have made financing more accessible for both homebuyers and developers. The sector’s strength is evident in its market performance. The Nifty Realty Index, a key barometer of the sector’s health, has shown impressive growth, outperforming other indices significantly. Over the past year, it recorded a growth rate of 42.47%, compared to a median growth of 16.38% across other sectors. In just the past month, the index grew by 9.71%, far surpassing the median growth rate of 1.16%, highlighting the sector’s robust upward momentum.

Key trends shaping 2025

Technology is poised to revolutionise the sector’s development. The integration of advanced technologies like home automation, the Internet of Things (IoT), and Artificial Intelligence (AI) is redefining customer experiences and enhancing efficiency. These innovations are paving the way for smarter, more sustainable, and highly personalized solutions tailored to the needs of contemporary homebuyers and businesses.

The premium and luxury residential market in Tier I cities, such as the Mumbai Metropolitan Region (MMR) and the National Capital Region (NCR), is projected to sustain its growth trajectory. Moreover, redevelopment opportunities in these cities, along with those in Tier II and Tier III cities, are attracting interest from mid-scale and high-end developers. These redevelopment projects cater to the changing preferences of urban residents by providing modern amenities and enhanced infrastructure.

The commercial real estate segment is also poised for significant growth in 2025. Key drivers include hybrid work models, diverse commercial spaces, government initiatives and mixed-use developments. The rationalisation of hybrid working arrangements is boosting demand for flexible office spaces. Rising demand for industrial parks, warehouses, data centres, and malls is attracting both domestic and international investments. The government’s 2024 announcement to establish 100 plug-and-play industrial parks is expected to catalyse further investment. “Live-work-play” models, which offer integrated residential and commercial spaces, are gaining popularity due to their ability to reduce commute times and enhance work-life balance.

Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) have revolutionised the investment landscape by making real estate asset ownership more accessible and channelling funds into income-generating properties. The introduction of Small and Medium REITs (SM REITs) marks a significant step in this evolution. India’s first SM REIT has been oversubscribed, reflecting strong investor demand. SM REITs offer benefits such as higher returns, improved liquidity, and attractive tax advantages. These investments primarily target assets that generate rental income and appreciate over time. Additionally, a reduced holding period for REIT units to 12 months has enhanced liquidity for developers. Long-term gains are taxed at 12.5%, aligning closely with equity investments.

The road ahead

Despite its positive outlook, the sector continues to grapple with challenges such as land acquisition and project delays. Complexities in acquiring land remain a significant hurdle and project delays due to regulatory and operational issues persist. However, the adoption of new construction technologies, such as 3D printing and modular construction, along with government initiatives to digitise land records, is expected to mitigate these issues by reducing costs and timelines.

Ultimately, the success of real estate in 2025 will rely on our ability to strike a balance between innovation and tradition—creating spaces that respect the past while embracing forward-thinking advancements. As the industry continues to evolve, the emphasis must remain on delivering projects that not only enhance community living but also foster stronger connectivity and promote sustainable development. By integrating innovative approaches with a deep respect for historical and cultural heritage, real estate can play a pivotal role in shaping vibrant urban environments. It is an exciting time for the sector, with numerous opportunities on the horizon for all stakeholders dedicated to shaping the future of India’s urban landscape.

As India’s real estate sector heads into 2025, it stands at the threshold of transformative growth. A stable regulatory environment, coupled with technological innovation and sustainable practices, is creating a fertile ground for opportunities. While challenges remain, the sector’s overall sentiment is optimistic, making it a promising avenue for growth and investment. Real estate is set to play a pivotal role in India’s journey toward becoming a developed nation by 2047, marking a new era of resilience, innovation, and prosperity.

(The writer is a tax specialist, financial adviser, author, guest faculty and public speaker based in Goa.)

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